Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 512.411312 544.738586 578.319162 615.864456 656.741391 699.974189 749.256825
2026-01-11 470.663104 515.180262 563.271443 619.292624 683.020192 753.566074 837.991655
2026-01-18 441.630835 493.293897 550.656381 619.459588 700.258531 792.771294 907.630338
2026-01-25 422.139473 479.434690 544.509752 624.499619 721.011665 834.780447 980.662387
2026-02-01 406.629435 468.471866 540.101747 630.054850 741.217816 875.723819 1053.339531
2026-02-08 394.066726 459.815375 537.316637 636.545208 761.882374 917.245165 1128.133890
2026-02-15 380.394511 448.814385 530.711726 637.377092 774.762432 948.808523 1191.080752
2026-02-22 368.090261 438.697669 524.405090 637.802027 786.526007 978.820996 1252.964283
2026-03-01 358.237950 431.031485 520.570613 640.826123 801.313829 1012.968967 1321.868796
2026-03-08 347.441528 421.607470 513.925120 639.602649 810.004924 1038.861613 1380.217719
2026-03-15 338.391714 413.966089 509.112409 640.340993 821.025803 1068.050448 1444.522458
2026-03-22 329.643874 406.313998 503.868780 640.076048 830.360096 1094.958284 1506.655629
2026-03-29 321.524278 399.193458 499.037393 640.109422 840.011728 1122.674565 1571.653675
2026-04-05 315.301932 394.308594 496.916718 643.637712 854.555800 1157.925155 1650.147421
2026-04-12 308.246609 388.029469 492.617731 643.819237 864.083353 1185.963116 1718.756566
2026-04-19 303.487357 384.639592 492.055452 649.125973 881.141435 1225.915735 1808.877084
2026-04-26 299.201871 381.713174 491.959052 654.976512 899.093368 1267.924181 1905.003544
2026-05-03 295.493563 379.422355 492.602316 661.813004 918.673728 1313.268653 2009.720647
2026-05-10 290.009633 374.484175 489.324243 662.689343 929.042201 1344.330756 2091.683497
2026-05-17 284.669957 369.573163 485.892738 663.136992 938.638548 1374.440197 2173.828387
2026-05-24 280.455738 366.103594 484.373985 666.322898 952.552421 1412.163188 2272.261419
2026-05-31 275.067195 360.810199 480.041784 665.033928 959.185672 1437.922871 2350.212516
2026-06-07 270.545465 356.619550 477.161938 665.811792 969.085665 1469.561762 2441.413990